Machine Learning-Assisted Sustainable Mix Design of Waste Glass Powder Concrete with Strength–Cost–CO2 Emissions Trade-Offs

Glass powder, a non-degradable waste material, offers significant potential to reduce cement consumption and carbon emissions in concrete production. However, existing mix design methods for glass powder concrete (GPC) fail to systematically balance economic efficiency, environmental sustainability, and mechanical performance. To address this gap, this study proposes an AI-assisted framework integrating machine learning (ML) and Multi-Objective Optimization (MOO) to achieve a sustainable GPC design. A robust database of 1154 experimental records was developed, focusing on five key predictors: cement content, water-to-binder ratio, aggregate composition, glass powder content, and curing age. Seven ML models were optimized via Bayesian tuning, with the Ensemble Tree model achieving superior accuracy (R2 = 0.959 on test data). SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis further elucidated the contribution mechanisms and underlying interactions of material components on GPC compressive strength. Subsequently, a MOO framework minimized unit cost and CO2 emissions while meeting compressive strength targets (15–70 MPa), solved using the NSGA-II algorithm for Pareto solutions and TOPSIS for decision-making. The Pareto-optimal solutions provide actionable guidelines for engineers to align GPC design with circular economy principles and low-carbon policies. This work advances sustainable construction practices by bridging AI-driven innovation with building materials, directly supporting global goals for waste valorization and carbon neutrality.