Neighbourhood Housing Dynamics and Crime Interactions: A Multicity Analysis in the United States

Abstract This study explores the reciprocal relationship between neighbourhood housing market activities and crime across multiple US cities, with a focus on how these dynamics vary across urban contexts. Using longitudinal data from 2010 to 2018 across a variety of cities in the United States, this research analyses how neighbourhood crime and housing market changes influence each other, while accounting for differences in city size, economic conditions, and employment opportunities. The findings suggest that while increased homeownership and housing investment generally reduce crime, these effects vary depending on the broader urban contexts. In economically vibrant cities, housing investments may foster social control and cohesion, reducing crime, whereas in stagnant cities, these investments might have less impact or even exacerbate crime. This study contributes to understanding the complex interplay between neighbourhood housing and crime, informing urban planning and public policy.