Empirical Analysis of the Logistics Sustainable Development in Poland: The Role of Macroeconomic Stability, Financial Security, and Social Development

Abstract The paper discusses the sustainable development of Polish logistics companies from 2008 to 2022. The study is motivated by the growing relevance of reconciling macroeconomic, financial, and social aspects of green transformation processes. The main objective is to evaluate the impact of macroeconomic stability, financial security, and social development on economic, social, and environmental performance. The method uses Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR). It utilises synthetic indicators of sustainable development and its most significant drivers: the Macroeconomic Stabilisation Index (MSP), Financial Security Index (FS), and Human Development Index (HDI). The findings confirm the positive dynamics of sustainability and indicate that HDI has the strongest and most significant impact on sustainable development, with a one-year lag specifically. Economic security supports financial growth, while environmental progress is catalysed by monetary expansion. The study contributes a new analytical model with macroeconomic and social determinants, with implications for researchers and policymakers.