Unified Zipf-Gibrat Framework for City Formation and Growth: A Theory and Empirics behind the Core-Periphery Tiebout-Weibull Model

This paper examines the patterns of city formation driven by two seemingly different empirical regularities: the rank distribution of cities (Zipf’s Law) and the patterns of city growth (Gibrat’s Law). We combine the core-periphery approach of economic geography (Prebish 1950 and Friedmann 1966) with the local public goods model (Tiebout 1956) to construct an equilibrium distribution of cities. Then, by endowing the equilibrium with the Weibull distribution of individual locations, we provide a unified economic foundation for Zipf’s and Gibrat’s Laws. We also show that our core-periphery Tiebout-Weibull equilibrium distribution is in almost total compliance with the U.S. Census data.

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Publication Details

Journal
Networks and Spatial Economics
Published
2025-07-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11067-025-09693-z
Primary Topic
Regional Economics and Spatial Analysis
Type
article
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article

Unified Zipf-Gibrat Framework for City Formation and Growth: A Theory and Empirics behind the Core-Periphery Tiebout-Weibull Model

Alexander Shapoval, Shlomo Weber, Anna Kaźmierczak
Networks and Spatial Economics
Regional Economics and Spatial Analysis
article

Unified Zipf-Gibrat Framework for City Formation and Growth: A Theory and Empirics behind the Core-Periphery Tiebout-Weibull Model

Alexander Shapoval, Shlomo Weber, Anna Kaźmierczak
article en

Abstract

This paper examines the patterns of city formation driven by two seemingly different empirical regularities: the rank distribution of cities (Zipf’s Law) and the patterns of city growth (Gibrat’s Law). We combine the core-periphery approach of economic geography (Prebish 1950 and Friedmann 1966) with the local public goods model (Tiebout 1956) to construct an equilibrium distribution of cities. Then, by endowing the equilibrium with the Weibull distribution of individual locations, we provide a unified economic foundation for Zipf’s and Gibrat’s Laws. We also show that our core-periphery Tiebout-Weibull equilibrium distribution is in almost total compliance with the U.S. Census data.

Networks and Spatial EconomicsVol. 25(4)
University of Łódź (PL), National University of Uzbekistan (UZ)
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Regional Economics and Spatial Analysis
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