Evaluating Ensemble Methods in Big Data Analytics for Real-Time Financial Forecasting

This research investigates the efficacy of various ensemble methods in financial forecasting bycomparing Random Forests, Gradient Boosting, XGBoost, and AdaBoost. With the advent of bigdata analytics, accurate financial predictions are crucial for informed decision-making in volatilemarkets. This study evaluates the performance of these ensemble techniques using a range of metricsincluding accuracy, precision, recall, F1 Score, Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean SquaredError (RMSE). Experimental results reveal that XGBoost outperforms other methods with the highestaccuracy (89%) and lowest error metrics, demonstrating its superior capability in handling complexfinancial data. Gradient Boosting follows closely with robust performance and balanced metrics, whileRandom Forests and AdaBoost, though less effective, still provide valuable predictive insights. Thefindings underscore the significant advancements that ensemble methods bring to financial forecastingand highlight XGBoost as the most reliable approach for achieving accurate and precise predictions indynamic financial environments..

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Publication Details

Journal
Global Journal of Engineering Innovations and Interdisciplinary Research
Published
2025-07-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.33425/3066-1226.1146
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Evaluating Ensemble Methods in Big Data Analytics for Real-Time Financial Forecasting

Muffasil Mohiuddin Syed, S Swetha
Global Journal of Engineering Innovations and Interdisciplinary Research
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Evaluating Ensemble Methods in Big Data Analytics for Real-Time Financial Forecasting

Muffasil Mohiuddin Syed, S Swetha
article en

Abstract

This research investigates the efficacy of various ensemble methods in financial forecasting bycomparing Random Forests, Gradient Boosting, XGBoost, and AdaBoost. With the advent of bigdata analytics, accurate financial predictions are crucial for informed decision-making in volatilemarkets. This study evaluates the performance of these ensemble techniques using a range of metricsincluding accuracy, precision, recall, F1 Score, Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean SquaredError (RMSE). Experimental results reveal that XGBoost outperforms other methods with the highestaccuracy (89%) and lowest error metrics, demonstrating its superior capability in handling complexfinancial data. Gradient Boosting follows closely with robust performance and balanced metrics, whileRandom Forests and AdaBoost, though less effective, still provide valuable predictive insights. Thefindings underscore the significant advancements that ensemble methods bring to financial forecastingand highlight XGBoost as the most reliable approach for achieving accurate and precise predictions indynamic financial environments..

Global Journal of Engineering Innovations and Interdisciplinary ResearchVol. 5(5)
University College for Women (IN), Guru Nanak Institutions (IN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 79%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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