Competitive Capture of Public Opinion

Two opposed interested parties (IPs) compete to influence citizens with heterogeneous priors which receive news items produced by a variety of sources. The IPs fight to capture the coverage conveyed in these items. We characterize the equilibrium level of capture of item as well as the equilibrium level of information transmission. Capture increases the prevalence of the ex ante most informative messages and can explain the empirical distribution of slant at the news‐item level. Opposite capturing efforts do not cancel each other and instead undermine social learning as rational citizens discount informative messages. Citizen skepticism makes efforts to capture the news strategic substitutes. Because of strategic substitution, competition for influence is compatible with horizontal differentiation between successful media. In equilibrium, rational citizens choose to consume messages from aligned sources despite knowledge of the bias in a manner consistent with recent empirical evidence.

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Publication Details

Journal
Econometrica
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3982/ecta22072
Citations
4
Primary Topic
Media Influence and Politics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
16.81
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article

Competitive Capture of Public Opinion

Ricardo Alonso, Gerard Padró i Miquel
4 citations
Econometrica
Media Influence and Politics
16.81
article

Competitive Capture of Public Opinion

Ricardo Alonso, Gerard Padró i Miquel
article en
4 citations

Abstract

Two opposed interested parties (IPs) compete to influence citizens with heterogeneous priors which receive news items produced by a variety of sources. The IPs fight to capture the coverage conveyed in these items. We characterize the equilibrium level of capture of item as well as the equilibrium level of information transmission. Capture increases the prevalence of the ex ante most informative messages and can explain the empirical distribution of slant at the news‐item level. Opposite capturing efforts do not cancel each other and instead undermine social learning as rational citizens discount informative messages. Citizen skepticism makes efforts to capture the news strategic substitutes. Because of strategic substitution, competition for influence is compatible with horizontal differentiation between successful media. In equilibrium, rational citizens choose to consume messages from aligned sources despite knowledge of the bias in a manner consistent with recent empirical evidence.

EconometricaVol. 93(4)
Yale University (US), London School of Economics and Political Science (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Media Influence and Politics
16.81
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Competitive Capture of Public Opinion — Ricardo Alonso, Gerard Padró i Miquel · Econometrica (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS