Political Risk, Political Polarization, and Earnings Management

ABSTRACT We examine how exposure to firm‐level political risk (PRISK) affects corporate earnings management (EM). We present robust evidence that heightened PRISK leads to an increase in real earnings management (REM); however, we do not find consistent evidence supporting an increase in accrual earnings management (AEM). Our results remain robust when employing difference‐in‐differences (DiD), two‐stage least squares (2SLS), propensity score matching (PSM), and additional methods designed to address endogeneity concerns. Additionally, we document that firm‐level political polarization exposure (PPE) intensifies the PRISK‐REM relationship. More interestingly, the financial market is relatively forgiving to firms that engage in REM activities in the face of both high PRISK and high PPE. Our findings provide novel insights into how PRISK shapes the financial reporting quality, and the critical role PPE plays in this relationship.

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Publication Details

Journal
Financial Review
Published
2025-07-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/fire.70013
Primary Topic
Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Political Risk, Political Polarization, and Earnings Management

Mostafa Monzur Hasan, Abdullah Al Masum, Ashrafee T Hossain
Financial Review
Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance
article

Political Risk, Political Polarization, and Earnings Management

Mostafa Monzur Hasan, Abdullah Al Masum, Ashrafee T Hossain
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT We examine how exposure to firm‐level political risk (PRISK) affects corporate earnings management (EM). We present robust evidence that heightened PRISK leads to an increase in real earnings management (REM); however, we do not find consistent evidence supporting an increase in accrual earnings management (AEM). Our results remain robust when employing difference‐in‐differences (DiD), two‐stage least squares (2SLS), propensity score matching (PSM), and additional methods designed to address endogeneity concerns. Additionally, we document that firm‐level political polarization exposure (PPE) intensifies the PRISK‐REM relationship. More interestingly, the financial market is relatively forgiving to firms that engage in REM activities in the face of both high PRISK and high PPE. Our findings provide novel insights into how PRISK shapes the financial reporting quality, and the critical role PPE plays in this relationship.

Financial ReviewVol. 61(1)
Memorial University of Newfoundland (CA), Johnson C. Smith University (US), Macquarie University (AU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 73%
Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance
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Political Risk, Political Polarization, and Earnings Management — Mostafa Monzur Hasan, Abdullah Al Masum, et al. · Financial Review (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS