Spatiotemporal Wind Energy Forecasting: A Comprehensive Survey and a Deep Equilibrium-Based Case Study With StemGNN

Accurate spatiotemporal wind energy forecasting is essential for ensuring grid stability and maximizing the efficiency of renewable energy systems. This paper addresses the challenge of modeling the complex spatial and temporal dependencies inherent in wind power generation by presenting a comprehensive survey of existing spatiotemporal forecasting methods and introducing an innovative deep learning approach. The proposed model integrates a Graph Neural Network (GNN) to represent wind turbines as nodes within a graph, capturing spatial relationships, while a Deep Equilibrium Model (DEQ) enables equilibrium-based inference to handle highly nonlinear wind patterns. A Sequence-to-Sequence (Seq2Seq) architecture further manages temporal dependencies. The method was validated using a real-world dataset of wind power generation, outperforming baseline models across multiple forecast horizons and maintaining stable accuracy across short- and mid-term predictions. Results demonstrate that the proposed GNN with DEQ effectively models both spatial and temporal dynamics for Seq2Seq data, improving prediction accuracy while maintaining computational efficiency. This study highlights the potential of equilibrium-based spatiotemporal graph models for wind energy forecasting and provides a robust tool for better integration of wind power into modern power grids.

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Publication Details

Journal
IEEE Access
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3586997
Citations
4
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.92

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article

Spatiotemporal Wind Energy Forecasting: A Comprehensive Survey and a Deep Equilibrium-Based Case Study With StemGNN

Leandro dos Santos Coelho, Stéfano Frizzo Stefenon, Gabriel Villarrubia González, Luiza Scapinello Aquino et al.
4 citations
IEEE Access
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
2.92
article

Spatiotemporal Wind Energy Forecasting: A Comprehensive Survey and a Deep Equilibrium-Based Case Study With StemGNN

Leandro dos Santos Coelho, Stéfano Frizzo Stefenon, Gabriel Villarrubia González, Luiza Scapinello Aquino, Viviana Cocco Mariani, Laio Oriel Seman
article en
4 citations

Abstract

Accurate spatiotemporal wind energy forecasting is essential for ensuring grid stability and maximizing the efficiency of renewable energy systems. This paper addresses the challenge of modeling the complex spatial and temporal dependencies inherent in wind power generation by presenting a comprehensive survey of existing spatiotemporal forecasting methods and introducing an innovative deep learning approach. The proposed model integrates a Graph Neural Network (GNN) to represent wind turbines as nodes within a graph, capturing spatial relationships, while a Deep Equilibrium Model (DEQ) enables equilibrium-based inference to handle highly nonlinear wind patterns. A Sequence-to-Sequence (Seq2Seq) architecture further manages temporal dependencies. The method was validated using a real-world dataset of wind power generation, outperforming baseline models across multiple forecast horizons and maintaining stable accuracy across short- and mid-term predictions. Results demonstrate that the proposed GNN with DEQ effectively models both spatial and temporal dynamics for Seq2Seq data, improving prediction accuracy while maintaining computational efficiency. This study highlights the potential of equilibrium-based spatiotemporal graph models for wind energy forecasting and provides a robust tool for better integration of wind power into modern power grids.

IEEE AccessVol. 13
Universidad de Salamanca (ES), Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (BR), Universidade Federal do Paraná (BR)
Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
2.92
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