New Emigrants and the Russian Labor Market: An Empirical Analysis

In 2022, Russia experienced a noticeable increase in emigration outflow. According to some experts, this process could have exacerbated the problem of labor shortages caused by demographic trends. However, not all emigrants have left the Russian labor market. This study conducts a regression analysis examining the employment factors affecting new emigrants in the Russian labor market. The empirical basis of the work is a unique online survey of emigrants conducted in 2024. It is shown that nearly a quarter of emigrants are working for a Russian employer. The likelihood of employment in the Russian labor market is significantly higher for women, for people with insufficient English language proficiency, for former residents of Moscow, for those who worked remotely before the departure and did not work in the IT sector, as well as for emigrants living in countries with a lower Human Development Index.