Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the Scenario of Extensive Economic Development of Russia Until 2030

Strategic planning documents for sectors of the economy that substantially influence greenhouse gas emissions (fuel and energy complex, metallurgy, chemistry, building materials industry, construction and public utilities, agriculture) set goals for increasing production and consumption volumes, but to a significantly lesser extent provide for improving efficiency. Coupled with technological constraints tightening in recent years this approach, among other things, may entail a tangible increase in greenhouse gas emissions compared to the targets of the Strategy of Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Federation with Low Greenhouse Gas Emissions until 2050, with which the abovementioned documents apparently failed to be reconciled. To address the issue, it is proposed to supplement the existing strategic planning system with target indicators designed around the principles of intensive development, which should set parameters for enhancing the efficiency of the production sector, including the efficiency of natural resource use and the reduction of negative environmental impacts, including greenhouse gas emissions.