Short-term load forecasting technique for power system based on grey correlation analysis and factor analysis

Aiming at the problem that traditional load forecasting techniques cannot achieve higher forecasting accuracy, a short-term load forecasting technique for power systems based on grey correlation analysis and factor analysis is proposed. Grey correlation analysis is introduced to determine the key load factors, and the forecasting circuit is designed by combining the data from the grid visualisation system. Secondly, the main influencing factors are extracted to form a composite factor by dimensionality reduction through factor analysis. Experiments show that the model performs well in predicting different date types and zone. The difference between the model predicted and true values was less than 0.6%. The results show that the load forecasting technique proposed in the study has high accuracy and stability, which provides a strong support for the stable operation and planning of the power system.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Powertrains
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1504/ijpt.2025.147115
Primary Topic
Evaluation Methods in Various Fields
Type
article
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article

Short-term load forecasting technique for power system based on grey correlation analysis and factor analysis

Xiaoguo Zhang
International Journal of Powertrains
Evaluation Methods in Various Fields
article

Short-term load forecasting technique for power system based on grey correlation analysis and factor analysis

Xiaoguo Zhang
article en

Abstract

Aiming at the problem that traditional load forecasting techniques cannot achieve higher forecasting accuracy, a short-term load forecasting technique for power systems based on grey correlation analysis and factor analysis is proposed. Grey correlation analysis is introduced to determine the key load factors, and the forecasting circuit is designed by combining the data from the grid visualisation system. Secondly, the main influencing factors are extracted to form a composite factor by dimensionality reduction through factor analysis. Experiments show that the model performs well in predicting different date types and zone. The difference between the model predicted and true values was less than 0.6%. The results show that the load forecasting technique proposed in the study has high accuracy and stability, which provides a strong support for the stable operation and planning of the power system.

International Journal of PowertrainsVol. 14(1)
Henan University of Urban Construction (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 90%
Evaluation Methods in Various Fields
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Short-term load forecasting technique for power system based on grey correlation analysis and factor analysis — Xiaoguo Zhang · International Journal of Powertrains (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS