Constitutive inflammation and epithelial-mesenchymal transition dictate sensitivity to nivolumab in CONFIRM: a placebo-controlled, randomised phase III trial
Leveraging adaptive tumour immunity to control mesothelioma via immune checkpoint blockade is now a standard therapeutic approach. However, the determinants of sensitivity remain elusive. Low non-synonymous mutation burden and programmed death-ligand 1 expression, an abundance of immunosuppressive immune cell infiltration, and 9p21 deletion should all mitigate responses to therapy. To address this knowledge gap, we conducted a double blind, placebo-controlled, randomized phase III trial of the PD1 inhibitor, nivolumab (ClinicalTrial.gov registration: NCT03063450). After 37.2 months of follow-up, the primary endpoint of progression free-survival, but not overall survival was met. The nivolumab response rate was 10.3%, and related grade 3 or above adverse events occurred in 20.4% versus 7.2% for placebo. Progression-free and overall survival were longer in nivolumab-treated responders versus non-responders. In an exploratory multiomic analysis, blinded whole exome, transcriptome and multiplex immune profiling were used to interrogate R- versus NR-subgroups. Non-synonymous and neoantigen mutation burden were no different between groups, however R-mesotheliomas were infiltrated with activated CD8<sup>+</sup> T- and CD19<sup>+</sup> B-lymphocytes, organised into tertiary lymphoid structures. B-cell infiltration correlated with pro-inflammatory chemokines including IL24 and CCL19. Conversely, epithelial-mesenchymal transition and mitosis were associated with resistance to nivolumab. These findings illuminate features which can be leveraged to advance precision immunotherapy in this rare cancer setting.
Authors
- J. Spicer (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2842-7412)
- Joanna Działo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6083-7687)
- Dean A. Fennell (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7373-1312)
- Sean Ewings (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7214-4917)
- Peter W. Szlosarek (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5039-711X)
- James Harber (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6451-9598)
- Raffaele Califano (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2611-5319)
- Jinli Luo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9241-5283)
- Joanne Lord (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1086-1624)
- Jens C. Hahne (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0069-0692)
- Maymun Jama
- Lucy Johnson (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9272-4668)
- Astero Klampatsa (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0572-502X)
- Charlotte Poile
- Edward J. Hollox (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0115-2298)
- Essa Y. Baitei
- Tamihiro Kamata (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2032-9300)
- Mavis Nye
- Kayleigh Hill (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5289-4454)
- Peter Wells-Jordan
- Huiyu Zhou (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1634-9840)
- Sarah Danson (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3593-2890)
- D.N. Faulkner (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3438-7330)
- Christian H. Ottensmeier (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3619-1657)
- J.F. Lester (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2311-070X)
- Zisen Zhou (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6122-5586)
- Aleksandra Bzura (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5836-4905)
- Nada Nusrat
- Gerard G. Hanna (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1003-5138)
- Jan Rogel
- Gareth Griffiths (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9579-8021)
- Catrin Pritchard (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1859-4487)
- Liz Darlison (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0157-1860)
- Cathy Richards
- Min Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3331-3583)
- Hongji Yang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6561-3631)
- Kim Mallard
- Sam W. Chan
- Nicola Steele
- Calley Middleton
Institutions
- Institute of Cancer Research (GB)
- Loughborough University (GB)
- University of Liverpool (GB)
- University of Leicester (GB)
- Queen Mary University of London (GB)
- University of Tripoli (LY)
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- Harry Perkins Institute of Medical Research (AU)
- Beatson West of Scotland Cancer Centre (GB)
- Singleton Hospital (GB)
- King Faisal Specialist Hospital & Research Centre (SA)
- Cancer Research UK (GB)
- Loughborough College (GB)
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust (GB)
- University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Queens University (BD)
- Novogene Bioinformatics Institute (CN)
- Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- NIHR Southampton Respiratory Biomedical Research Unit (GB)
- York Teaching Hospital NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre (GB)
- The Northern Ireland Cancer Centre (GB)
- Wythenshawe Hospital (GB)
- MRC Toxicology Unit (GB)
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre (GB)
- University of Southampton (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2025-07-21
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-61691-4
- Citations
- 3
- Primary Topic
- Cancer Immunotherapy and Biomarkers
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 3.14
Funders
- Bristol-Myers Squibb
- Cancer Research UK
- National Institute for Health and Care Research
- Department of Health and Social Care
- University of Leicester
- University of Southampton
- National Institutes of Health
- Stand Up To Cancer
- Medical Research Council
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre