Remaining Available Energy Prediction for Energy Storage Batteries Based on Interpretable Generalized Additive Neural Network

Precise estimation of the remaining available energy in batteries is not only key to improving energy management efficiency, but also serves as a critical safeguard for ensuring the safe operation of battery systems. To address the challenges associated with energy state estimation under dynamic operating conditions, this study proposes a method for predicting the remaining available energy of energy storage batteries based on an interpretable generalized additive neural network (IGANN). First, considering the variability in battery operating conditions, the study designs a battery working voltage threshold that accounts for safety margins and proposes an available energy state assessment metric, which enhances prediction consistency under different discharge conditions. Subsequently, 12 features are selected from both direct observation and statistical characteristics to capture the operating condition information of the battery, and a dataset is constructed using actual operational data from an energy storage station. Finally, the model is trained and validated on the feature dataset. The validation results show that the model achieves an average absolute error of 2.39%, indicating that it effectively captures the energy variation characteristics within the 0.2 C to 0.6 C dynamic current range. Furthermore, the contribution of each feature is analyzed based on the model’s interpretability, and the model is optimized by utilizing high-contribution features. This optimization improves both the accuracy and runtime efficiency of the model. Finally, a dynamic prediction is conducted for a discharge cycle, comparing the predictions of the IGANN model with those of three other machine learning methods. The IGANN model demonstrates the best performance, with the average absolute error consistently controlled within 3%, proving the model’s accuracy and robustness under complex conditions.