Integrating Groundwater Modelling for Optimized Managed Aquifer Recharge Strategies

Managed aquifer recharge (MAR) is a complex and hidden process of storing surplus water under the ground surface and extracting it as, when and where needed. Evaluation of the success of any MAR project is challenging due to uncertainty in estimating the hydrogeological characteristics of the subsurface media. This paper demonstrates the use of a groundwater model (MODFLOW) to evaluate a new, large-scale regional MAR project in the agricultural heartland in Punjab, Pakistan. In this MAR project, flood waters have been diverted to the bed of an abandoned canal, where 144 recharge wells (the wells for accelerating the recharge into the aquifer) have been constructed to accelerate the recharge to the aquifer. The model was calibrated for a period of five years from October 2015 to June 2020 on a monthly stress period and the resulting water levels were simulated till 2035. The water balance components and future response of the aquifer to different scenarios up to 2035 including with and without MAR situations are presented. The model simulations showed that MAR can contribute to the replenishment of the aquifer and its potential for the case study site to contribute significantly to the management of groundwater and to enhance supplies for intensive agriculture. It was further established that MODFLOW can help in the evaluation of effectiveness of a MAR scheme. This study is unique as it evaluates a significantly large MAR project in an area where this practice has not been developed for improving groundwater access for large scale irrigation. The model provides guidelines for decision makers in the region as well as for the global community and livelihood benefits for rural communities.