A Simple Model to Predict the Temporal Nitrogen Saturation Point of a Jack Pine (Pinus banksiana L.) Forest

Dry jack pine forests exposed to elevated nitrogen (N) deposition do not necessarily exhibit traditional N saturation responses. Using empirical results from a five year above-canopy N deposition experiment, a simple nitrogen (N) saturation model was developed for jack pine (Pinus banksiana Lamb.) forests dominated by cryptogams. For the model, a series of differential equations using empirically derived rate constants (k) were applied to estimate changes in net N pools in biotic and abiotic components across a narrow N deposition gradient (0, 5, 10, 15, 20, and 25 kg N ha−1 yr−1). Critical soil C:N ratios were used as the model limit to signify saturation. We explored the saturation response time by priming the model to mineralize approximately one percent of the soil N pool after the critical C:N ratio was reached. A portion of this pool was made available to jack pine trees. Nitrogen leaching below the rooting zone occurred when the mass of N mineralized from the soil organic- and A horizon layers exceeded the theoretical mass required by jack pine, driving the mineral soil below the critical C:N ratio. The model suggests that N leaching below the rooting zone could happen around 50 (1% LFH N mineralization) years after the onset of deposition at 25 kg N ha−1 yr−1. In contrast, N deposition rates ≤ 20 kg N ha−1 yr−1 are not expected to be associated with N leaching over this timeframe. The modeled results are consistent with empirical surveys of jack pine forests exposed to elevated N deposition for several decades.