CME activities on spotless days during descending phase of solar cycles 23 and 24

Spotless days (SLDs) as well as CMEs in the decay phase of the solar cycle are believed to be a good predictor of the forthcoming cycle. A sequential increase in SLDs is observed since cycle 21, and cycle 24 has highest number of SLDs (since cycle 14), regarding it as one of the weakest cycles, which offer a unique opportunity to probe the CME characteristics that occurred during SLDs (hereafter CMESLD), in a statistical sense. Here, we investigate the CMESLDs during the descending phases of solar cycles 23 (2004-2008) and 24 (2015-2019). The fraction of CMEs that occurred on SLDs is found to be 14 and 11%, for cycles 23 and 24, respectively, compared to the total CMEs that occurred in the aforementioned durations. An increase in the number of CMESLDs is revealed after 2004. Further, CMESLDs that occurred on the visible side of the solar disk are found to be slower, smaller in width, and carrying low K.E. and mass compared to the all population of CME. The distribution of annual evolution of speed, angular width and acceleration of the CMESLD with the CMEs that occurred on the non-SLD days (hereafter CMENon-SLD) for the descending phases shows that the CMESLD are different from the CMENon-SLD in terms of characteristics (such as speed, width and acceleration) which also exhibits solar cycle dependence. A comparative analysis of CMESLD kinematics of cycle 23 and 24 shows that the weakest cycle 24 has wider and more massive events. In contrast, other parameters of CMESLD such as speed, acceleration and K.E. do not have a disparate nature. CMESLD in both the cycles 23 and 24 are similar in nature in a statistical sense. Therefore, this investigation suggests that SLDs, and hence the sunspot number, may not be a sufficient candidate to predict the solar eruptive activities (e.g. CMEs).

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Journal
Annals of Geophysics
Published
2025-07-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-9230
Primary Topic
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
Type
article
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article

CME activities on spotless days during descending phase of solar cycles 23 and 24

Dipali Burud, A. K. Awasthi, Rajmal Jain, N. Gopalswamy
Annals of Geophysics
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
article

CME activities on spotless days during descending phase of solar cycles 23 and 24

Dipali Burud, A. K. Awasthi, Rajmal Jain, N. Gopalswamy
article en

Abstract

Spotless days (SLDs) as well as CMEs in the decay phase of the solar cycle are believed to be a good predictor of the forthcoming cycle. A sequential increase in SLDs is observed since cycle 21, and cycle 24 has highest number of SLDs (since cycle 14), regarding it as one of the weakest cycles, which offer a unique opportunity to probe the CME characteristics that occurred during SLDs (hereafter CMESLD), in a statistical sense. Here, we investigate the CMESLDs during the descending phases of solar cycles 23 (2004-2008) and 24 (2015-2019). The fraction of CMEs that occurred on SLDs is found to be 14 and 11%, for cycles 23 and 24, respectively, compared to the total CMEs that occurred in the aforementioned durations. An increase in the number of CMESLDs is revealed after 2004. Further, CMESLDs that occurred on the visible side of the solar disk are found to be slower, smaller in width, and carrying low K.E. and mass compared to the all population of CME. The distribution of annual evolution of speed, angular width and acceleration of the CMESLD with the CMEs that occurred on the non-SLD days (hereafter CMENon-SLD) for the descending phases shows that the CMESLD are different from the CMENon-SLD in terms of characteristics (such as speed, width and acceleration) which also exhibits solar cycle dependence. A comparative analysis of CMESLD kinematics of cycle 23 and 24 shows that the weakest cycle 24 has wider and more massive events. In contrast, other parameters of CMESLD such as speed, acceleration and K.E. do not have a disparate nature. CMESLD in both the cycles 23 and 24 are similar in nature in a statistical sense. Therefore, this investigation suggests that SLDs, and hence the sunspot number, may not be a sufficient candidate to predict the solar eruptive activities (e.g. CMEs).

Annals of GeophysicsVol. 68(4)
Centrum Badań Kosmicznych (PL), Goddard Space Flight Center (US), Kadi Sarva Vishwavidyalaya (IN), IPS Academy (IN), Polish Academy of Sciences (PL)
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
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