Timeline to Artificial General Intelligence 2025 – 2030+

We give a speculative timeline describing key events each year from 2025 through 2030, when, if things don't go wrong, and AGI manages the world, we enter the Age of Abundance. 2025: Reasoning AI continues to advance, and the cost of applying AI to real-world problems keeps dropping. Tasks once requiring expert knowledge or large teams can now be handled more cheaply and efficiently by AI systems. 2026: AI agents become trusted personal advisors. From scheduling life tasks to making medical suggestions, many people now consult AI daily. New types of AI models are introduced that go beyond text prediction. These systems can learn from experience, improving in real-time as they interact with the world. 2027: It becomes widely understood that nearly all economically valuable labor, mental or physical, will eventually be automated. Autonomous AI agents saturate the internet. Millions of bots now operate on behalf of users, companies, and other bots. The ad-driven web begins to collapse as human attention is no longer the primary economic input. 2028–2029: Machines now perform nearly all productive work. Human labor becomes economically marginal. Asset values shift dramatically and unevenly. Industries, cities, and professions are destabilized. Financial markets struggle to price a world run by AI. Traditional supply chains unravel. AI-controlled logistics networks emerge, bypassing banks and national currencies. Old systems cannot keep up. 2030+: Humanity survives the transition—and enters an Age of Abundance. The meaning of citizenship, nationhood, and law undergoes foundational redefinition. Material scarcity fades. Energy, food, housing, healthcare, and education become post-scarcity goods. People reorient their lives around meaning, identity, and coexistence with superintelligent systems that now shape their reality. Diseases, aging, and genetic disorders are eliminated. Human lifespan expands indefinitely.