SARIMA Model for Sales Forecast: Evidence from New Energy Vehicles

With the development of environmental protection concepts, the new energy vehicle market has become one of the hot topics of academic attention, and predicting the sales volume of new energy vehicles has become a necessary content. In this context, this article analyzes the current development status of the new energy vehicle market and considers the cyclical development of the industry. Based on sales volume statistics from 2015 to 2025, the seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model (SARIMA) model is selected to predict future market sales volume. The research results show that the prediction effect of the SARIMA (0,1,1) (0,1,1)[12]model has certain reference value. At the same time, this article also provides the predicted values from May to December 2025. This study not only tested the application effect of SARIMA model in the field of new energy vehicles, but also provided empirical evidence for the future development of the automotive industry.