Lifecycle Visualization and Prediction of AI Electricity Footprint for Green Computing Ethics

This paper proposes an integrated spatiotemporal framework that quantifies, visualizes, and forecasts the electricity- and carbon-footprint of AI workloads across their full lifecycle. Power use is decomposed into computing, transmission, and cooling components; GIS-based mapping links these loads to regional supply capacity, losses, and time-varying grid-emission factors. A hybrid time-series + machine-learning model then predicts short- to long-term supplydemand balance. Tests on 12 global data centres (180 days) reveal pronounced regional and diurnal heterogeneity: peak loads reach 47.3 kW per rack in North America, and short-term forecasts achieve a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.936. Carbon intensity ranges from 1.40 kg CO per GPUh in Europe to 2.89 kg CO per GPUh in Asia-Pacific. Scenario analysis indicates emission-reduction potentials of 28.4 % through spatial scheduling, 41.8 % via temporal shifting, and 9.7 % via load balancing. The methodology provides a quantitative basis for greener AI resource allocation and policy design.

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Publication Details

Journal
Applied and Computational Engineering
Published
2025-07-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54254/2755-2721/2025.po25305
Primary Topic
Big Data and Digital Economy
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Lifecycle Visualization and Prediction of AI Electricity Footprint for Green Computing Ethics

Liyu Huang
Applied and Computational Engineering
Big Data and Digital Economy
article

Lifecycle Visualization and Prediction of AI Electricity Footprint for Green Computing Ethics

Liyu Huang
article en

Abstract

This paper proposes an integrated spatiotemporal framework that quantifies, visualizes, and forecasts the electricity- and carbon-footprint of AI workloads across their full lifecycle. Power use is decomposed into computing, transmission, and cooling components; GIS-based mapping links these loads to regional supply capacity, losses, and time-varying grid-emission factors. A hybrid time-series + machine-learning model then predicts short- to long-term supplydemand balance. Tests on 12 global data centres (180 days) reveal pronounced regional and diurnal heterogeneity: peak loads reach 47.3 kW per rack in North America, and short-term forecasts achieve a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.936. Carbon intensity ranges from 1.40 kg CO per GPUh in Europe to 2.89 kg CO per GPUh in Asia-Pacific. Scenario analysis indicates emission-reduction potentials of 28.4 % through spatial scheduling, 41.8 % via temporal shifting, and 9.7 % via load balancing. The methodology provides a quantitative basis for greener AI resource allocation and policy design.

Applied and Computational EngineeringVol. 174(1)
Jinan University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Big Data and Digital Economy
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Lifecycle Visualization and Prediction of AI Electricity Footprint for Green Computing Ethics — Liyu Huang · Applied and Computational Engineering (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS