The Relationship Between Stock Price and Intrinsic Value of a Company

This study explores the relationship between stock prices and a companys intrinsic value by applying a comprehensive mathematical and empirical framework. Key financial models-including the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and the Fama-French Three- and Five-Factor Models-are utilized to estimate intrinsic value and examine deviations in market pricing. While the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) suggests that stock prices fully reflect all available information, real-world data often reveal consistent mispricing driven by behavioral biases, investor sentiment, and practical constraints on arbitrage. Using Apple (AAPL) as case studies, the paper estimates intrinsic values via DCF and analyzes price deviations using time-series econometric techniques and regression diagnostics. Findings show that mispricing can persist over time, and prices tend to correct gradually rather than instantly, implying semi-strong market efficiency. The study offers valuable insights into the limits of rational arbitrage, the dynamic nature of market corrections, and the influence of noise traders in modern financial markets.

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Publication Details

Journal
Theoretical and Natural Science
Published
2025-07-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54254/2753-8818/2025.24823
Primary Topic
Financial Reporting and Valuation Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The Relationship Between Stock Price and Intrinsic Value of a Company

Churuo Xia
Theoretical and Natural Science
Financial Reporting and Valuation Research
article

The Relationship Between Stock Price and Intrinsic Value of a Company

Churuo Xia
article en

Abstract

This study explores the relationship between stock prices and a companys intrinsic value by applying a comprehensive mathematical and empirical framework. Key financial models-including the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and the Fama-French Three- and Five-Factor Models-are utilized to estimate intrinsic value and examine deviations in market pricing. While the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) suggests that stock prices fully reflect all available information, real-world data often reveal consistent mispricing driven by behavioral biases, investor sentiment, and practical constraints on arbitrage. Using Apple (AAPL) as case studies, the paper estimates intrinsic values via DCF and analyzes price deviations using time-series econometric techniques and regression diagnostics. Findings show that mispricing can persist over time, and prices tend to correct gradually rather than instantly, implying semi-strong market efficiency. The study offers valuable insights into the limits of rational arbitrage, the dynamic nature of market corrections, and the influence of noise traders in modern financial markets.

Theoretical and Natural ScienceVol. 104(1)
Shrewsbury College (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Financial Reporting and Valuation Research
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