Commanding the Converging Frontier: Rethinking Global Power in the Age of Space, Cyber, and Private Capital

This paper introduces the Ascendency Theory, a contemporary geopolitical framework that expands upon classical strategic thought by integrating three pivotal domains: space, cyberspace, and private capital. While traditional theories of Alfred Thayer Mahan, Halford Mackinder, and Nicholas Spykman remain foundational, they fall short in addressing the rapidly evolving landscape shaped by orbital infrastructure, real-time digital connectivity, and powerful private sector actors. Ascendency Theory posits that these interlocking domains form a "Converging Frontier," reshaping how global power is generated, projected, and contested. Through an examination of strategic chokepoints in orbital corridors, control of digital information flows, and the unprecedented geopolitical influence of venture-backed innovation, the paper outlines why policymakers, industry leaders, and international organizations must embrace a holistic approach. The analysis concludes by providing actionable guidance for navigating the complex interplay of these modern domains, emphasizing the urgent necessity of adapting strategic paradigms to secure national interests and promote global stability in the 21st century.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-07-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2514/6.2025-4074
Primary Topic
Space exploration and regulation
Type
article
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article

Commanding the Converging Frontier: Rethinking Global Power in the Age of Space, Cyber, and Private Capital

Tim Chrisman
Space exploration and regulation
article

Commanding the Converging Frontier: Rethinking Global Power in the Age of Space, Cyber, and Private Capital

Tim Chrisman
article en

Abstract

This paper introduces the Ascendency Theory, a contemporary geopolitical framework that expands upon classical strategic thought by integrating three pivotal domains: space, cyberspace, and private capital. While traditional theories of Alfred Thayer Mahan, Halford Mackinder, and Nicholas Spykman remain foundational, they fall short in addressing the rapidly evolving landscape shaped by orbital infrastructure, real-time digital connectivity, and powerful private sector actors. Ascendency Theory posits that these interlocking domains form a "Converging Frontier," reshaping how global power is generated, projected, and contested. Through an examination of strategic chokepoints in orbital corridors, control of digital information flows, and the unprecedented geopolitical influence of venture-backed innovation, the paper outlines why policymakers, industry leaders, and international organizations must embrace a holistic approach. The analysis concludes by providing actionable guidance for navigating the complex interplay of these modern domains, emphasizing the urgent necessity of adapting strategic paradigms to secure national interests and promote global stability in the 21st century.

Institute for Schools of the Future (US), Institute for the Future (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
Space exploration and regulation
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Commanding the Converging Frontier: Rethinking Global Power in the Age of Space, Cyber, and Private Capital — Tim Chrisman · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS