Detection of Pine Wilt Disease Using a VIS-NIR Slope-Based Index from Sentinel-2 Data

Pine wilt disease (PWD), caused by Bursaphelenchus xylophilus Steiner & Buhrer (pine wood nematodes, PWN), impacts forest carbon sequestration and climate change. However, satellite-based PWD monitoring is challenging due to the limited spatial resolution of Sentinel’s MSI sensor, which reduces its sensitivity to subtle biochemical alterations in foliage. We have, therefore, developed a slope product index (SPI) for effective detection of PWD using single-date satellite imagery based on spectral gradients in the visible and near-infrared (VNIR) range. The SPI was compared against 15 widely used vegetation indices and demonstrated superior robustness across diverse test sites. Results show that the SPI is more sensitive to changes in chlorophyll content in the PWD detection, even under potentially confounding conditions such as drought. When integrated into Random Forest (RF) and Back-Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) models, SPI significantly improved classification accuracy, with the multivariate RF model achieving the highest performance and univariate with SPI in BPNN. The generalizability of SPI was validated across test sites in distinct climate zones, including Zhejiang (accuracyZ_Mean = 88.14%) and Shandong (accuracyS_Mean = 78.45%) provinces in China, as well as Portugal. Notably, SPI derived from Sentinel-2 imagery in October enables more accurate and timely PWD detection while reducing field investigation complexity and cost.