Managed Migration as a Potential Component of “Hybrid” Conflicts

The object of the study is “hybrid warfare”, the subject of the study is controlled migration as a possible component of “hybrid” wars. The article analyzes the volume and dynamics of migration processes in the modern world and, in comparison with the main components of “hybrid” actions, based on a comprehensive analysis, it is concluded that these processes can potentially be components of a “hybrid” confrontation. Using the methods of analysis and generalization, the article draws conclusions about how managed migration can fit into the components of a “hybrid” confrontation.: informational, economic, organizational, and military. Based on this analysis, it is concluded that the potential use of managed migration can be quite effective, and the features of this process make it possible to logically fit into all aspects of the “hybrid” war. The article uses the following research methods: analysis of the content of historical and regulatory documents contained in the public domain, synthesis of conclusions and proposals on possible manifestations and counteraction to managed migration as an integral part of the “hybrid” confrontation. Based on the analysis of statistics, it is concluded that controlled migration, if used as a component of a “hybrid” confrontation, has a number of features that make it difficult to mitigate the consequences of its use. Such features of managed migration as the legality of the methods used, secrecy, focus on the future, the ability to self-develop the situation, the use of modern technologies to implement management and maintain the process are formulated. Taking into account these features, a generalized algorithm of possible counteraction based on a typical cycle of military operations management has been synthesized.The novelty of the research lies in the fact that the author, within the framework of the article, formulated for the first time the task of solving the problem of countering managed migration, concluded that it was necessary to develop methods to counter this problem, and proposed general solutions.