Do business and consumer confidence in China respond to energy-related uncertainty? A quantile-based analysis

China’s transition from fossil fuels to clean energy to attain environmental and economic co-sustainability necessitates changes in its energy policy landscape. Such policy shifts impact the confidence of both businesses and consumers. Building on this argument, this research article investigates the response of China’s business and consumer confidence towards energy-related uncertainty for the period February 2000 to October 2022. Utilizing a novel energy-related uncertainty measure and the quantile-on-quantile regression approach, the empirical analysis underscores that China’s business confidence is hostile towards energy-related uncertainty across all quantiles. The quantiles of consumer confidence mirror the outcomes of business confidence, recording the negative impact of energy-related uncertainty, except for a few quantiles. The empirical outcomes indicate that to augment business and consumer confidence, Chinese policymakers should strive to minimize energy-related uncertainty through transparent communication with stakeholders and a gradual shift from fossil fuels to clean energy sources.

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Publication Details

Journal
Humanities and Social Sciences Communications
Published
2025-07-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-05300-1
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Do business and consumer confidence in China respond to energy-related uncertainty? A quantile-based analysis

Assad Ullah, Mesut Doğan, Meiping Sun, Chen Jiang et al.
Humanities and Social Sciences Communications
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

Do business and consumer confidence in China respond to energy-related uncertainty? A quantile-based analysis

Assad Ullah, Mesut Doğan, Meiping Sun, Chen Jiang, Adeel Riaz
article en

Abstract

China’s transition from fossil fuels to clean energy to attain environmental and economic co-sustainability necessitates changes in its energy policy landscape. Such policy shifts impact the confidence of both businesses and consumers. Building on this argument, this research article investigates the response of China’s business and consumer confidence towards energy-related uncertainty for the period February 2000 to October 2022. Utilizing a novel energy-related uncertainty measure and the quantile-on-quantile regression approach, the empirical analysis underscores that China’s business confidence is hostile towards energy-related uncertainty across all quantiles. The quantiles of consumer confidence mirror the outcomes of business confidence, recording the negative impact of energy-related uncertainty, except for a few quantiles. The empirical outcomes indicate that to augment business and consumer confidence, Chinese policymakers should strive to minimize energy-related uncertainty through transparent communication with stakeholders and a gradual shift from fossil fuels to clean energy sources.

Humanities and Social Sciences CommunicationsVol. 12(1)
Hainan Normal University (CN), Lingnan Normal University (CN), Fordham University (US), Bilecik Şeyh Edebali Üniversitesi (TR), Hainan Meteorological Service (CN), Hanjiang Normal University
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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Do business and consumer confidence in China respond to energy-related uncertainty? A quantile-based analysis — Assad Ullah, Mesut Doğan, et al. · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS