Performance Analysis of Battery State Prediction Based on Improved Transformer and Time Delay Second Estimation Algorithm

As energy storage technology advances rapidly, the power industry demands accurate state estimation of lithium batteries in energy storage power stations. This study aimed to improve such estimations. An improved Transformer structure was employed to estimate the battery’s state of charge (SOC). The Time Delay Second Estimation (TDSE) algorithm optimized the improved Transformer model to overcome traditional models’ limitations in extracting long-term dependency. Innovative particle filter algorithms were proposed to handle the nonlinearity, uncertainty, and dynamic changes in predicting remaining battery life. Results showed that for LiNiMnCoO2 positive electrode datasets, the model’s max SOC estimation error was 2.68% at 10 °C and 2.15% at 30 °C. For LiFePO4 positive electrode datasets, the max error was 2.79% at 10 °C (average 1.25%) and 2.35% at 30 °C (average 0.94%). In full lifecycle calculations, the particle filter algorithm predicted battery capacity with 98.34% accuracy and an RMSE of 0.82%. In conclusion, the improved Transformer and TDSE algorithm enable advanced battery state prediction, and the particle filter algorithm effectively predicts remaining battery life, enhancing the adaptability and robustness of lithium battery state analysis and offering technical support for energy storage station management.