Nonlinear Dynamics of Systematic Risk in Cryptocurrency Market: A Multifractal Analysis

Systematic risk and asset-market-comovement is a crucial dynamic of financial markets and asset pricing, especially for cryptocurrencies. This paper studies the cryptocurrency market and explores systematic risk behavior in a nonlinear way. In this study, systematic risk coefficients of the largest 25 cryptocurrencies are calculated and evaluated using multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA). The findings show that cryptocurrency systematic risks are not constant, instead, they are dynamic and time-varying. Further, multifractal analysis is applied and it is observed that beta coefficients are multifractal and exhibit persistent/antipersistent behavior in small/large fluctuations. Moreover, the analysis displays that the main sources of multifractality in systematic risk of cryptocurrencies are nonlinear temporal correlations while heavy-tailed distributions and linear correlations show amplifying effects. The findings of this paper offer crucial findings for the literature and important information for investors in cryptocurrency market.

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Publication Details

Journal
Fluctuation and Noise Letters
Published
2025-07-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1142/s0219477525500567
Primary Topic
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Nonlinear Dynamics of Systematic Risk in Cryptocurrency Market: A Multifractal Analysis

Türker AÇIKGÖZ
Fluctuation and Noise Letters
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
article

Nonlinear Dynamics of Systematic Risk in Cryptocurrency Market: A Multifractal Analysis

Türker AÇIKGÖZ
article en

Abstract

Systematic risk and asset-market-comovement is a crucial dynamic of financial markets and asset pricing, especially for cryptocurrencies. This paper studies the cryptocurrency market and explores systematic risk behavior in a nonlinear way. In this study, systematic risk coefficients of the largest 25 cryptocurrencies are calculated and evaluated using multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA). The findings show that cryptocurrency systematic risks are not constant, instead, they are dynamic and time-varying. Further, multifractal analysis is applied and it is observed that beta coefficients are multifractal and exhibit persistent/antipersistent behavior in small/large fluctuations. Moreover, the analysis displays that the main sources of multifractality in systematic risk of cryptocurrencies are nonlinear temporal correlations while heavy-tailed distributions and linear correlations show amplifying effects. The findings of this paper offer crucial findings for the literature and important information for investors in cryptocurrency market.

Fluctuation and Noise LettersVol. 24(06)
Başkent University (TR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 77%
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
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Nonlinear Dynamics of Systematic Risk in Cryptocurrency Market: A Multifractal Analysis — Türker AÇIKGÖZ · Fluctuation and Noise Letters (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS