Hybrid Euler method and Pontryagin Principle in fractional dengue model with sex classification and optimal controls

This study develops a fractional epidemiological model to investigate the dynamics of dengue transmission, incorporatingbiological and behavioral differences between male and female human populations. The model utilizesfractional calculus to capture memory effects, which are essential for understanding the long-term behavior of infectiousdiseases. Control variables representing fumigation and preventive measures are introduced to evaluateintervention strategies, formulating a fractional optimal control problem. To solve the model, Euler’s method is employedfor numerical approximation of the fractional differential equations, while Pontryagin’s Minimum Principleand a forward-backward numerical approach are applied to determine optimal strategies. Numerical simulationsreveal that the combined control strategy, employing both fumigation and preventive measures, is the most effectivein minimizing infection levels and system costs. The results also demonstrate that higher fractional orders enhancethe efficiency of system dynamics. This research provides a robust framework for modeling dengue transmission anddesigning cost-effective public health interventions, with potential extensions to account for additional real-worldcomplexities.

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Publication Details

Journal
Statistics Optimization & Information Computing
Published
2025-04-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.19139/soic-2310-5070-2393
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
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0.00
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article

Hybrid Euler method and Pontryagin Principle in fractional dengue model with sex classification and optimal controls

C. W. Chukwu, Cicik Alfiniyah, Faishal Farrel Herdicho, Fatmawati Fatmawati
Statistics Optimization & Information Computing
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

Hybrid Euler method and Pontryagin Principle in fractional dengue model with sex classification and optimal controls

C. W. Chukwu, Cicik Alfiniyah, Faishal Farrel Herdicho, Fatmawati Fatmawati
article en

Abstract

This study develops a fractional epidemiological model to investigate the dynamics of dengue transmission, incorporatingbiological and behavioral differences between male and female human populations. The model utilizesfractional calculus to capture memory effects, which are essential for understanding the long-term behavior of infectiousdiseases. Control variables representing fumigation and preventive measures are introduced to evaluateintervention strategies, formulating a fractional optimal control problem. To solve the model, Euler’s method is employedfor numerical approximation of the fractional differential equations, while Pontryagin’s Minimum Principleand a forward-backward numerical approach are applied to determine optimal strategies. Numerical simulationsreveal that the combined control strategy, employing both fumigation and preventive measures, is the most effectivein minimizing infection levels and system costs. The results also demonstrate that higher fractional orders enhancethe efficiency of system dynamics. This research provides a robust framework for modeling dengue transmission anddesigning cost-effective public health interventions, with potential extensions to account for additional real-worldcomplexities.

Statistics Optimization & Information ComputingVol. 14(1)
DePaul University (US), Universitas Airlangga (ID)
Openalex Percentile: Top 77%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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