Harnessing Artificial Intelligence for Enhanced Market Trend Forecasting

Advanced AI methodologies extract patterns in vast tranches of historical financial data that traditional methods may lack. Predictive accuracy can be improved using proposed deep learning AI to deal with larger datasets and more complex feature extraction. Specifically, neural nets, which include recurrent neural networks (RNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM), are great for learning temporal dependencies or sequential patterns that are so important when forecasting market trends and volatility in time-series data. Further, reinforcement learning algorithms can aggregate various tactical trading strategies by doing virtual back-testing on different market conditions and learning from the results.In this paper, using AI and ML classification models namely, Linear Regression, Logistic RNN, LSTM, and proposed model using ensemble classifiers. In which, highest accuracy of 86.7 % is obtained using ensemble method, where the error rate is negligible. This gives rise to the natural emergence of predictive models that are more accurate than today's currency derivative pricing and a step forward in understanding market dynamics for risk management. It helps traders and financial institutions to be better informed, competitive, and risk-aware. Developments of AI-based technologies keep pushing the accuracy and flexibility envelope in financial modeling, which promises to achieve even more resilient and agile markets.

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Published
2024-12-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/ariia63345.2024.11051568
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
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article

Harnessing Artificial Intelligence for Enhanced Market Trend Forecasting

Nisha S. Tatkar, S. B. Goyal, Anand Singh Rajawat, Usha Desai et al.
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Harnessing Artificial Intelligence for Enhanced Market Trend Forecasting

Nisha S. Tatkar, S. B. Goyal, Anand Singh Rajawat, Usha Desai, Krishna Kumar P R
article en

Abstract

Advanced AI methodologies extract patterns in vast tranches of historical financial data that traditional methods may lack. Predictive accuracy can be improved using proposed deep learning AI to deal with larger datasets and more complex feature extraction. Specifically, neural nets, which include recurrent neural networks (RNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM), are great for learning temporal dependencies or sequential patterns that are so important when forecasting market trends and volatility in time-series data. Further, reinforcement learning algorithms can aggregate various tactical trading strategies by doing virtual back-testing on different market conditions and learning from the results.In this paper, using AI and ML classification models namely, Linear Regression, Logistic RNN, LSTM, and proposed model using ensemble classifiers. In which, highest accuracy of 86.7 % is obtained using ensemble method, where the error rate is negligible. This gives rise to the natural emergence of predictive models that are more accurate than today's currency derivative pricing and a step forward in understanding market dynamics for risk management. It helps traders and financial institutions to be better informed, competitive, and risk-aware. Developments of AI-based technologies keep pushing the accuracy and flexibility envelope in financial modeling, which promises to achieve even more resilient and agile markets.

Prin. L. N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development and Research (IN), Sandip Foundation (IN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 64%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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Harnessing Artificial Intelligence for Enhanced Market Trend Forecasting — Nisha S. Tatkar, S. B. Goyal, et al. · (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS