Identification of Typical Time-Series House Consumption Profiles Based on Unsupervised Learning Techniques

Energy consumption profiles are a critical component of energy management strategies. With the recent widespread adoption of smart meters, there is a pressing need to develop robust methodologies for obtaining, characterizing, and visualizing these profiles. This paper presents a comparative analysis of various clustering methods for deriving consumer electricity profiles, aiming to identify the most suitable techniques for big time-series data and the impact that the granularity of the data has on the final profiles. Four approaches were considered for obtaining house electricity consumption profiles: K-means, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) combined with K-means, Self-Organizing Maps (SOM), and SOM combined with K-means. Additionally, an iterative study with the scores silhouette coefficient and Davies-Bouldin index validated the subjective indications from the elbow method. The results demonstrate hybrid approaches with superior performance compared to conventional clustering models, highlighting the effectiveness of combining PCA and SOM to improve model generalization and support more targeted energy management strategies. SOM combined with K-means provides the best clustering quality across all tested scenarios, making it the preferred method when computational resources are not a limiting factor. On the other hand, PCA combined with K-means highlights a good balance between meaningful profiles and the capacity to handle large datasets effectively.

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Publication Details

Journal
IEEE Access
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3585204
Primary Topic
Korean Urban and Social Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Identification of Typical Time-Series House Consumption Profiles Based on Unsupervised Learning Techniques

Hugo Morais, Lucas Pereira, Cindy P. Guzmán, Marcelo Forte
IEEE Access
Korean Urban and Social Studies
article

Identification of Typical Time-Series House Consumption Profiles Based on Unsupervised Learning Techniques

Hugo Morais, Lucas Pereira, Cindy P. Guzmán, Marcelo Forte
article en

Abstract

Energy consumption profiles are a critical component of energy management strategies. With the recent widespread adoption of smart meters, there is a pressing need to develop robust methodologies for obtaining, characterizing, and visualizing these profiles. This paper presents a comparative analysis of various clustering methods for deriving consumer electricity profiles, aiming to identify the most suitable techniques for big time-series data and the impact that the granularity of the data has on the final profiles. Four approaches were considered for obtaining house electricity consumption profiles: K-means, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) combined with K-means, Self-Organizing Maps (SOM), and SOM combined with K-means. Additionally, an iterative study with the scores silhouette coefficient and Davies-Bouldin index validated the subjective indications from the elbow method. The results demonstrate hybrid approaches with superior performance compared to conventional clustering models, highlighting the effectiveness of combining PCA and SOM to improve model generalization and support more targeted energy management strategies. SOM combined with K-means provides the best clustering quality across all tested scenarios, making it the preferred method when computational resources are not a limiting factor. On the other hand, PCA combined with K-means highlights a good balance between meaningful profiles and the capacity to handle large datasets effectively.

IEEE AccessVol. 13
Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e Computadores Investigação e Desenvolvimento (PT), University of Lisbon (PT), Active Technologies (Italy) (IT), Instituto de Tecnologias Interativas
HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme, Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Korean Urban and Social Studies
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