Forecast value of profit before tax of JSC Regional Electric Networks by modern analysis techniques

In this research paper has been calculated forecast value of profit before tax of JSC Regional Electric Networks by modern analysis techniques. Actually, the ARIMA autocorrelation model was used to examine JSC Regional Electric Networks' profit indicators for the 2019–2023 period in order to provide a more thorough examination of the financial and economic operations. This model was selected for two reasons. Firstly, the balance sheet indicators of the company cannot be regarded as exogenous with respect to its profit; therefore, it would be inappropriate to choose a more accurate VAR model, such as vector autoregression, in this situation. Second, multicollinearity when using factors of accounts receivable and payable, revenue and cost indicators, and enterprise data makes it appear impossible to use a multiple regression model, which would have allowed for the factorization of JSC Regional Electric Networks' profit indicator.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3726122.3726219
Primary Topic
Advanced Power Generation Technologies
Type
article
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article

Forecast value of profit before tax of JSC Regional Electric Networks by modern analysis techniques

Shamsiddin Allayarov, Bobir Tursunov, Марина Глазова, Tulkin Teshabayev
Advanced Power Generation Technologies
article

Forecast value of profit before tax of JSC Regional Electric Networks by modern analysis techniques

Shamsiddin Allayarov, Bobir Tursunov, Марина Глазова, Tulkin Teshabayev
article en

Abstract

In this research paper has been calculated forecast value of profit before tax of JSC Regional Electric Networks by modern analysis techniques. Actually, the ARIMA autocorrelation model was used to examine JSC Regional Electric Networks' profit indicators for the 2019–2023 period in order to provide a more thorough examination of the financial and economic operations. This model was selected for two reasons. Firstly, the balance sheet indicators of the company cannot be regarded as exogenous with respect to its profit; therefore, it would be inappropriate to choose a more accurate VAR model, such as vector autoregression, in this situation. Second, multicollinearity when using factors of accounts receivable and payable, revenue and cost indicators, and enterprise data makes it appear impossible to use a multiple regression model, which would have allowed for the factorization of JSC Regional Electric Networks' profit indicator.

Tashkent State University of Economics (UZ)
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Advanced Power Generation Technologies
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