Machine learning techniques for forest fire prediction: Current trends, challenges and future directions

Forest fires pose a significant threat to ecosystems, biodiversity and human livelihoods, necessitating the development of advanced predictive models for timely intervention. Machine learning (ML) techniques have emerged as effective tools for predicting forest fires by utilizing various environmental, meteorological and topographical datasets. This review explores recent advancements in ML-based fire prediction, highlighting key methodologies such as Random Forest, Support Vector Machines, Neural Networks and hybrid models. The combination of remote sensing data, real-time observation and cloud computing has notably improved the prediction accuracy. Moreover, the growth of Explainable AI (XAI) has enhanced the interpretability of ML models. Despite advancements, challenges such as data imbalances, model generalization issues and computational constraints persist. Future research must focus on refining ML algorithms to improve regional adaptability, integrating climate change forecasts and establishing real-time early warning systems. By bridging the gap between theoretical advancements and practical applications, ML-driven forest fire prediction models can significantly contribute to mitigating the devastating impact of forest fire and enhancing global fire management strategies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Plant Science Today
Published
2025-07-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.14719/pst.8399
Primary Topic
Fire effects on ecosystems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Machine learning techniques for forest fire prediction: Current trends, challenges and future directions

M Kalpana, M Vijayabhama, K Arunadevi, K Baranidharan et al.
Plant Science Today
Fire effects on ecosystems
article

Machine learning techniques for forest fire prediction: Current trends, challenges and future directions

M Kalpana, M Vijayabhama, K Arunadevi, K Baranidharan, R. Subash, M Sankavi
article en

Abstract

Forest fires pose a significant threat to ecosystems, biodiversity and human livelihoods, necessitating the development of advanced predictive models for timely intervention. Machine learning (ML) techniques have emerged as effective tools for predicting forest fires by utilizing various environmental, meteorological and topographical datasets. This review explores recent advancements in ML-based fire prediction, highlighting key methodologies such as Random Forest, Support Vector Machines, Neural Networks and hybrid models. The combination of remote sensing data, real-time observation and cloud computing has notably improved the prediction accuracy. Moreover, the growth of Explainable AI (XAI) has enhanced the interpretability of ML models. Despite advancements, challenges such as data imbalances, model generalization issues and computational constraints persist. Future research must focus on refining ML algorithms to improve regional adaptability, integrating climate change forecasts and establishing real-time early warning systems. By bridging the gap between theoretical advancements and practical applications, ML-driven forest fire prediction models can significantly contribute to mitigating the devastating impact of forest fire and enhancing global fire management strategies.

Plant Science Today
Forest Research Institute (IN), Tamil Nadu Agricultural University (IN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 85%
Fire effects on ecosystems
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Machine learning techniques for forest fire prediction: Current trends, challenges and future directions — M Kalpana, M Vijayabhama, et al. · Plant Science Today (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS