Factors influencing automotive financial loan defaults and risk management strategies

The purpose of this paper is to identify the key factors that influence customers to default on their car loans and to develop a robust model to predict whether a customer will default. We use linear regression to determine the statistical significance of variables, analyze important variables that affect default, and compare the fitting and prediction results of four classification models (Logistic regression, Decision tree, Random tree, and XGBoost). Finally, this paper points out important variables for financial institutions and provides good suggestions and demonstrations for banks to build models.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-03-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3729706.3729737
Primary Topic
Housing Market and Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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Factors influencing automotive financial loan defaults and risk management strategies

Shawn M. Peng
Housing Market and Economics
article

Factors influencing automotive financial loan defaults and risk management strategies

Shawn M. Peng
article en

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to identify the key factors that influence customers to default on their car loans and to develop a robust model to predict whether a customer will default. We use linear regression to determine the statistical significance of variables, analyze important variables that affect default, and compare the fitting and prediction results of four classification models (Logistic regression, Decision tree, Random tree, and XGBoost). Finally, this paper points out important variables for financial institutions and provides good suggestions and demonstrations for banks to build models.

City University of Hong Kong (HK)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Housing Market and Economics
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