Drought, Topographic Depression, and Severe Damage Slowed Down and Differentiated Recovery of Mangrove Forests from Major Hurricane Disturbance

Extreme climate events are becoming more intense, and how coastal mangroves respond to the alternating intense cyclones and severe droughts is less understood, which challenges the sustainability of the ecosystem services they provide to coastal communities. To address this, we analyzed spatiotemporal dynamics of coastal mangroves in a Caribbean island in response to major hurricanes in 2017, which followed a severe multi-year drought in 2014–2015, using multiple indices derived from multispectral optical images. We further explored the roles of hurricane forces, local hydro-geomorphic environment, and rainfall dynamics in the damage and the following recovery. In addition to the hurricane forces, such as gusty wind and rainfall, the local hydro-geomorphic environment largely determines the spatial variations of damage. Lower-lying, flatter, and wetter mangrove areas sustained more damage, possibly due to prolonged inundation susceptibility and tall canopy configurations. Recovery is mainly limited by the severity of damage. However, sufficient rainfall gradually becomes important to facilitate the recovery. While the pre-hurricane severe drought (2014–2015) largely degraded the mangroves at dry sites, the drought after the hurricanes exacerbated the hurricane damage and retarded the recovery. We also found that the spectral distance and the mangrove vegetation index revealed slower and more spatiotemporally heterogenous mangrove recovery than indices of greenness, implying they are better measures for monitoring mangroves’ response to disturbance. Six years after the disturbance, the greenness of mangroves near the hurricane landfall reached 84% of the pre-hurricane values. However, the mangrove vegetation index showed that healthy mangrove coverage was only 10%, in comparison to 76% before the disturbance. The sluggish recovery at this site with the severest damage may be associated with the loss of pre-established seedlings and the difficulty to have new ones established, thus human efforts are in need to restore the system.