GIS-Integrated Machine Learning Framework for Predicting Traffic Accident Hotspots: A Spatial Analysis Approach

In city areas such as Metro Manila, Philippines, traffic accidents are the largest threat to urban growth and public safety. The K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) method is used in this study's machine learning and GIS-based technique to predict the sites of traffic incidents. Based on spatial data and historical accident records, it integrates geographic and contextual factors to generate risk maps that identify locations likely to be accident-prone. There was room for improvement, as the predictive model had a 97% accuracy rate with good precision, but a somewhat lower recall. Urban planning initiatives, resource allocation, and traffic control methods can all benefit from the practical insights that GIS-based visualizations offer. Thus, the method suggests that combining machine learning and spatial analytics could improve road safety.

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Publication Details

Journal
SAR Journal - Science and Research
Published
2025-06-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18421/10.18421/sar82-08
Primary Topic
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Type
article
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article

GIS-Integrated Machine Learning Framework for Predicting Traffic Accident Hotspots: A Spatial Analysis Approach

Jose C. Agoylo
SAR Journal - Science and Research
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
article

GIS-Integrated Machine Learning Framework for Predicting Traffic Accident Hotspots: A Spatial Analysis Approach

Jose C. Agoylo
article en

Abstract

In city areas such as Metro Manila, Philippines, traffic accidents are the largest threat to urban growth and public safety. The K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) method is used in this study's machine learning and GIS-based technique to predict the sites of traffic incidents. Based on spatial data and historical accident records, it integrates geographic and contextual factors to generate risk maps that identify locations likely to be accident-prone. There was room for improvement, as the predictive model had a 97% accuracy rate with good precision, but a somewhat lower recall. Urban planning initiatives, resource allocation, and traffic control methods can all benefit from the practical insights that GIS-based visualizations offer. Thus, the method suggests that combining machine learning and spatial analytics could improve road safety.

SAR Journal - Science and Research
Southern Leyte State University (PH)
Openalex Percentile: Top 84%
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
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