A Forest Biomass-to-Hydrogen Supply Chain Mathematical Model for Optimizing Carbon Emissions and Economic Metrics

This study introduces a mathematical programming approach to optimize biomass-to-hydrocarbon supply chain design and planning, aiming to balance economic and environmental outcomes. The model incorporates a range of residual biomass types from forestry, sawmills, and the pulp and paper industry, with the option to establish various processing facilities and technologies over a multi-period planning horizon. The analysis involves selecting forest areas, identifying biomass sources, and determining the optimal locations, technologies, and capacities for facilities converting wood-based residues into methanol and pyrolysis oil, which can be further refined into biodiesel and drop-in fuels. Using Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) in a gate-to-gate analysis, forest supply chain carbon emissions are estimated and integrated into the optimization model, extending previous research. A multi-objective framework is employed to minimize CO2-equivalent emissions while minimizing present costs, with efficient Pareto points evaluated in a case study focused on the Argentine forest industry.