Automated Identification of Kinetic Models for Nucleophilic Aromatic Substitution Reaction via DoE-SINDy

Nucleophilic aromatic substitutions (SNAr) are key chemical transformations in pharmaceutical and agrochemical synthesis, yet their complex mechanisms (concerted or two-step) complicate kinetic model identification. Accurate kinetic models for SNAr are essential for scale-up, optimization, and control of the reaction process, but conventional methods struggle with mechanism uncertainty driven by substrates, nucleophiles, and reaction conditions, with data collection being difficult due to its source-intensive nature. We address this using DoE-SINDy, a data-driven framework for generative modelling without complete theoretical understanding. A benchmark study on the SNAr reaction of 2,4-difluoronitrobenzene with morpholine in ethanol was conducted, incorporating parallel and consecutive side-product formation. Ground-truth kinetic models validated in prior studies were used to generate in-silico data under varying noise levels and sampling intervals. DoE-SINDy successfully identified the true kinetic model with minimal runs, quantifying the impact of key design factors such as inlet concentrations, residence time, sample size and experimental budget on model identification.