Integrated hybrid modelling of lignin bioconversion

Global biomanufacturing is projected to expand rapidly in the coming decade due to advancements in DNA sequencing and manipulation. However, the complexity of cellular behaviour introduces difficulty in modelling and optimizing biomanufacturing processes. Phenomenological models that represent the physics of the system in empirical equations suffer from poor robustness, while their machine learning (ML) counterparts suffer from poor extrapolative capability. On the other hand, hybrid models allow us to leverage both physical constraints and the flexibility of ML. This work describes a new approach for hybrid modeling that integrates the time-variant parameter estimation and ML model training into a singular step. We implement this approach on a proposed scheme for the cell-mediated conversion of a lignin derivative into a bioplastic precursor and show that our integrated hybrid model outperforms the traditional two-step hybrid, phenomenological, and ML model counterparts. Lastly, we demonstrate how to execute an interpretability analysis on the ML component of the integrated hybrid model to reveal new physical insights that are then used to further improve model performance.