The Debt-Inflation Channel of the German (Hyper)Inflation

This paper studies how a large increase in the price level is transmitted to the real economy through firm balance sheets. Using newly digitized macro- and micro-level data from the German inflation of 1919–1923, we show inflation led to a large reduction in real debt burdens and bankruptcies. Firms with higher nominal liabilities at the onset of inflation experienced a larger decline in interest expenses, a relative increase in their equity values, and higher employment during the inflation. The results are consistent with real effects of a debt-inflation channel that operates even when prices and wages are flexible. (JEL D22, E23, E31, G32, N14, N24)

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Publication Details

Journal
American Economic Review
Published
2025-06-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20230685
Citations
5
Primary Topic
European Monetary and Fiscal Policies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
8.83
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The Debt-Inflation Channel of the German (Hyper)Inflation

Emil Verner, Sergio Correia, Markus K. Brunnermeier, Tom Zimmermann et al.
5 citations
American Economic Review
European Monetary and Fiscal Policies
8.83
article

The Debt-Inflation Channel of the German (Hyper)Inflation

Emil Verner, Sergio Correia, Markus K. Brunnermeier, Tom Zimmermann, Stephan Luck
article en
5 citations

Abstract

This paper studies how a large increase in the price level is transmitted to the real economy through firm balance sheets. Using newly digitized macro- and micro-level data from the German inflation of 1919–1923, we show inflation led to a large reduction in real debt burdens and bankruptcies. Firms with higher nominal liabilities at the onset of inflation experienced a larger decline in interest expenses, a relative increase in their equity values, and higher employment during the inflation. The results are consistent with real effects of a debt-inflation channel that operates even when prices and wages are flexible. (JEL D22, E23, E31, G32, N14, N24)

American Economic ReviewVol. 115(7)
University of Cologne (DE), Princeton University (US), Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (US), Federal Reserve Bank of New York (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
European Monetary and Fiscal Policies
8.83
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