A Quantitative Assessment of the Impacts of Land Use and Natural Factors on Water Quality in the Red River Basin, China

The quality of water in the Red River is a complex interplay between human-induced changes and inherent natural variables. This research utilized the snapshot sampling approach, garnering water quality data from 45 sampling sites in the Red River and crafting 24 environmental indicators related to land use and inherent natural determinants at the catchment scale. Through Spearman rank correlation and redundancy analyses, relationships among land use, natural variables, and water quality were elucidated. Our variance partitioning revealed differentiated impacts of land use and natural factors on water quality. Pivotal findings indicated superior water quality in the Red River, driven mainly by land use dynamics, which showed a distinct geomorphic gradient. Specific land use attributes, like cropland patch density, grassland’s largest patch index, and urban metrics, were pivotal in explaining variations in parameters such as total nitrogen, ammonia, and temperature. Notably, the configuration of land use had a more profound influence on water quality than merely its components. In terms of natural influences, while topography played a dominant role in shaping water quality, other factors like soil and weather had marginal impacts. Elevation was notably linked with metrics like total phosphorus and suspended solids, whereas precipitation and slope significantly determined electrical conductivity and chlorophyll-a models. In sum, incorporating both land use configurations and natural determinants offers a more comprehensive understanding of water quality disparities in the Red River’s ecosystem. For holistic water quality management, the focus should not only be on the major contributors like croplands and urban areas but also on underemphasized areas like grasslands. Tweaking cropland distribution, recognizing the intertwined nature of land use and natural elements, and tailoring land management based on topographical variations are essential strategies moving forward.