Can Fire Season Type Serve as a Critical Factor in Fire Regime Classification System in China?

Fire regime (FR) is a key element in the study of ecosystem dynamics, supporting natural resource management planning by identifying gaps in fire patterns in time and space and planning to assess ecological conditions. Due to the insufficient consideration of integrated characterization factors, especially the insufficient research on fire season types (FST), the current understanding of the spatial heterogeneity of fire patterns in China is still limited, and it is necessary to use FST as a key dimension to classify FR zones more accurately. This study extracted 13 fire characteristic variables based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) burned area data (MCD64A1), active fire data (MODIS Collection 6), and land cover data (MCD12Q1) from 2001 to 2023. The study systematically analyzed the frequency, intensity, spatial distribution and seasonal characteristics of fires across China. By using data normalization and the k-means clustering algorithm, the study area was divided into five types of FR zones (FR 1–5) with significant differences. The burned areas of the five FR zones account for 67.76%, 13.88%, 4.87%, 12.94%, and 0.55% of the total burned area across the country over the 23-year study period, respectively. Among them, fires in the Northeast China Plain and North China Plain cropland areas (FR 1) exhibit a bimodal distribution, with the peak period concentrated in April and June, respectively; the southern forest and savanna region (FR 2) is dominated by high-frequency, small-scale, unimodal fires, peaking in February; the central grassland region (FR 3) experiences high-intensity, low-frequency fires, with a peak in April; the east central forest region (FR 4) is characterized by low-frequency, high-intensity fires; and the western grassland region (FR 5) experiences low-frequency fires with significant inter-annual fluctuations. Among the five zones, FST consistently ranks within the top five contributors, with contribution rates of 0.39, 0.31, 0.44, 0.27, and 0.55, respectively, confirming that the inclusion of FST is a reasonable and necessary choice when constructing FR zones. By integrating multi-source remote sensing data, this study has established a novel FR classification system that encompasses fire frequency, intensity, and particularly FST. This approach transcends the traditional single-factor classification, demonstrating that seasonal characteristics are indispensable for accurately delineating fire conditions. The resultant zoning system effectively overcomes the limitations of traditional methods, providing a scientific basis for localized fire risk warning and differentiated prevention and control strategies.