Study on ADMM-GBS-based real-time electricity price forecast considering wind power consumption

Accurate real-time electricity price forecasting plays a crucial role in maintaining the stability of power systems and ensuring the efficient operation of the market. The increasing integration of renewable energy sources such as wind power has brought about greater price volatility, complicating the forecasting process. Traditional forecasting methods often fail to address these complexities. To solve this problem, this study proposes a new forecasting model. This method integrates the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) and the Gaussian Back Substitution (GBS). By analyzing the impact of wind power consumption on electricity prices, this model developed targeted features to enhance its predictive ability. ADMM provides efficient distributed optimization, while GBS ensures high prediction accuracy, thereby achieving accurate real-time price prediction. This work not only promotes better operation of the electricity market but also supports the development of renewable energy and drives the improvement of the energy structure.

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Published
2025-06-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3066897
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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article
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article

Study on ADMM-GBS-based real-time electricity price forecast considering wind power consumption

Siqi Ye, Rongzhou Liao
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Study on ADMM-GBS-based real-time electricity price forecast considering wind power consumption

Siqi Ye, Rongzhou Liao
article en

Abstract

Accurate real-time electricity price forecasting plays a crucial role in maintaining the stability of power systems and ensuring the efficient operation of the market. The increasing integration of renewable energy sources such as wind power has brought about greater price volatility, complicating the forecasting process. Traditional forecasting methods often fail to address these complexities. To solve this problem, this study proposes a new forecasting model. This method integrates the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) and the Gaussian Back Substitution (GBS). By analyzing the impact of wind power consumption on electricity prices, this model developed targeted features to enhance its predictive ability. ADMM provides efficient distributed optimization, while GBS ensures high prediction accuracy, thereby achieving accurate real-time price prediction. This work not only promotes better operation of the electricity market but also supports the development of renewable energy and drives the improvement of the energy structure.

China Southern Power Grid (China) (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Study on ADMM-GBS-based real-time electricity price forecast considering wind power consumption — Siqi Ye, Rongzhou Liao · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS