Influence of Climate and Land Use Change on Runoff in Xiying River

In arid inland river basins, the upstream runoff generation zones contribute the majority of the basin’s water resources. Global warming and land use changes will produce uncertain impacts on runoff variations in the headwaters of inland rivers in arid regions. Deeply understanding the response mechanisms of runoff to climate and land use changes is fundamental for scientifically developing watershed water resource utilization planning and achieving sustainable socio-economic and ecological development. By integrating meteorological data, hydrological data, and multi-source remote sensing data, this study systematically evaluates the factors influencing changes in watershed hydrological processes. The results show: (1) From 1976 to 2016, the Xiying River runoff exhibited a slight increasing trend, with an increment of 0.213 mm per decade. (2) At the interannual scale, runoff is primarily influenced by precipitation changes, with a trend of further weakening ice and snowmelt effects. (3) The land use types in the Xiying River Basin are predominantly forestland, grassland, and unused land. With increasing forestland and cultivated land and decreasing grassland and construction land area, the watershed’s water conservation capacity has significantly improved.