Knightian Uncertainty in Entrepreneurship Research: Retrospect and Prospect

While Knightian uncertainty (KU) has been central to entrepreneurship research for over half a century, there remains a lack of consensus on how to define, apply, and learn from the concept. We argue that, despite the apparent fragmentation of views and theories, there has been significant and valuable knowledge accumulation around KU that can inform entrepreneurship research. Reviewing 238 articles published over the past 60 years across seven disciplines, we find that (1) there is considerable congruity in how KU is discussed within, but not across, disciplines and at micro, meso, and macro levels of analysis; (2) cross-fertilization and integration of interdisciplinary insights exist but are insufficiently explored by entrepreneurship researchers; (3) progress in understanding and analyzing uncertainty may come primarily from multi-level, interdisciplinary analysis; and (4) entrepreneurship researchers may benefit from engaging the definitions and theories of uncertainty from neighboring fields like economics and decision science. We suggest a variety of research questions to unite different disciplines across levels of analysis to create a more integrated research agenda for KU in entrepreneurship studies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice
Published
2025-06-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/10422587251347062
Citations
10
Primary Topic
Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
21.07
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article

Knightian Uncertainty in Entrepreneurship Research: Retrospect and Prospect

Peter G. Klein, Nicolai J. Foss, Matthew C. McCaffrey, Carmen-Elena Dorobat
10 citations
Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice
Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting
21.07
article

Knightian Uncertainty in Entrepreneurship Research: Retrospect and Prospect

Peter G. Klein, Nicolai J. Foss, Matthew C. McCaffrey, Carmen-Elena Dorobat
article en
10 citations

Abstract

While Knightian uncertainty (KU) has been central to entrepreneurship research for over half a century, there remains a lack of consensus on how to define, apply, and learn from the concept. We argue that, despite the apparent fragmentation of views and theories, there has been significant and valuable knowledge accumulation around KU that can inform entrepreneurship research. Reviewing 238 articles published over the past 60 years across seven disciplines, we find that (1) there is considerable congruity in how KU is discussed within, but not across, disciplines and at micro, meso, and macro levels of analysis; (2) cross-fertilization and integration of interdisciplinary insights exist but are insufficiently explored by entrepreneurship researchers; (3) progress in understanding and analyzing uncertainty may come primarily from multi-level, interdisciplinary analysis; and (4) entrepreneurship researchers may benefit from engaging the definitions and theories of uncertainty from neighboring fields like economics and decision science. We suggest a variety of research questions to unite different disciplines across levels of analysis to create a more integrated research agenda for KU in entrepreneurship studies.

Entrepreneurship Theory and PracticeVol. 50(1)
Manchester Metropolitan University (GB), Baylor University (US), Copenhagen Business School (DK), University of Manchester (GB), Norwegian School of Economics (NO)
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting
21.07
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