Animal Spirits and the Goodwin Pattern

ABSTRACT The Goodwin pattern is an established stylized fact of capitalist macrodynamics. Existing models typically assume profit‐led real‐sector dynamics and a ‘reserve army’ mechanism in order to reproduce this pattern. We extend an animal‐spirits‐driven business cycle model, in which the demand regime is wage‐led, by adding a reserve army effect determining real wage dynamics. We construct an agent‐based simulation of the model, showing that we are able to reproduce the Goodwin pattern. Our results add to the literature suggesting that the Goodwin pattern can arise from various macrodynamic ensembles—including some that feature wage‐led real sectors.

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Publication Details

Journal
Metroeconomica
Published
2025-06-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/meca.12506
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Historical and Literary Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
11.35
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article

Animal Spirits and the Goodwin Pattern

Mark Setterfield, George Wheaton
1 citations
Metroeconomica
Historical and Literary Studies
11.35
article

Animal Spirits and the Goodwin Pattern

Mark Setterfield, George Wheaton
article en
1 citations

Abstract

ABSTRACT The Goodwin pattern is an established stylized fact of capitalist macrodynamics. Existing models typically assume profit‐led real‐sector dynamics and a ‘reserve army’ mechanism in order to reproduce this pattern. We extend an animal‐spirits‐driven business cycle model, in which the demand regime is wage‐led, by adding a reserve army effect determining real wage dynamics. We construct an agent‐based simulation of the model, showing that we are able to reproduce the Goodwin pattern. Our results add to the literature suggesting that the Goodwin pattern can arise from various macrodynamic ensembles—including some that feature wage‐led real sectors.

MetroeconomicaVol. 77(1)
The New School (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
Historical and Literary Studies
11.35
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