Deposit interest rate pass-through in Central and Eastern European countries before and after 2021

The study analyzes interest rate pass-through for household and corporate deposits in specific markets in the Central and Eastern European (CEE) region, with a focus on the tightening cycle that began in mid-2021. This period is of particular interest to monetary policy, as sharp rate hikes by central banks, in response to a high inflationary environment, followed a period characterized by an abundance of liquidity. We examine the relationship between interbank and deposit interest rates using two methods: wavelet transform and error-correction model. Based on the wavelet analysis, we found a weakening of pass-through and a slowdown in the repricing of deposit interest rates during the tightening cycle across the countries of the CEE region, particularly in the household segment. Using error-correction models, we observe a consistent weakening in both the degree and speed of interest rate pass-through in the Hungarian and Polish deposit markets during the tightening cycle. The extent of pass-through declined most in the Hungarian household deposit market among all CEE countries.

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Publication Details

Journal
Central Bank Review
Published
2025-06-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cbrev.2025.100204
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
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article

Deposit interest rate pass-through in Central and Eastern European countries before and after 2021

Bálint Dancsik, Zsuzsanna Hosszú, Gábor Hajnal, Ákos Attila Ozoróczy
Central Bank Review
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
article

Deposit interest rate pass-through in Central and Eastern European countries before and after 2021

Bálint Dancsik, Zsuzsanna Hosszú, Gábor Hajnal, Ákos Attila Ozoróczy
article en

Abstract

The study analyzes interest rate pass-through for household and corporate deposits in specific markets in the Central and Eastern European (CEE) region, with a focus on the tightening cycle that began in mid-2021. This period is of particular interest to monetary policy, as sharp rate hikes by central banks, in response to a high inflationary environment, followed a period characterized by an abundance of liquidity. We examine the relationship between interbank and deposit interest rates using two methods: wavelet transform and error-correction model. Based on the wavelet analysis, we found a weakening of pass-through and a slowdown in the repricing of deposit interest rates during the tightening cycle across the countries of the CEE region, particularly in the household segment. Using error-correction models, we observe a consistent weakening in both the degree and speed of interest rate pass-through in the Hungarian and Polish deposit markets during the tightening cycle. The extent of pass-through declined most in the Hungarian household deposit market among all CEE countries.

Central Bank ReviewVol. 25(3)
Hungarian National Bank (HU)
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Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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