Quantifying Sagittal Craniosynostosis Severity: A Machine Learning Approach With CranioRate

ObjectiveTo develop and validate machine learning (ML) models for objective and comprehensive quantification of sagittal craniosynostosis (SCS) severity, enhancing clinical assessment, management, and research.DesignA cross-sectional study that combined the analysis of computed tomography (CT) scans and expert ratings.SettingThe study was conducted at a children's hospital and a major computer imaging institution. Our survey collected expert ratings from participating surgeons.ParticipantsThe study included 195 patients with nonsyndromic SCS, 221 patients with nonsyndromic metopic craniosynostosis (CS), and 178 age-matched controls. Fifty-four craniofacial surgeons participated in rating 20 patients head CT scans.InterventionsComputed tomography scans for cranial morphology assessment and a radiographic diagnosis of nonsyndromic SCS.Main OutcomesAccuracy of the proposed Sagittal Severity Score (SSS) in predicting expert ratings compared to cephalic index (CI). Secondary outcomes compared Likert ratings with SCS status, the predictive power of skull-based versus skin-based landmarks, and assessments of an unsupervised ML model, the Cranial Morphology Deviation (CMD), as an alternative without ratings.ResultsThe SSS achieved significantly higher accuracy in predicting expert responses than CI (<i>P</i> < .05). Likert ratings outperformed SCS status in supervising ML models to quantify within-group variations. Skin-based landmarks demonstrated equivalent predictive power as skull landmarks (<i>P</i> < .05, threshold 0.02). The CMD demonstrated a strong correlation with the SSS (Pearson coefficient: 0.92, Spearman coefficient: 0.90, <i>P</i> < .01).ConclusionsThe SSS and CMD can provide accurate, consistent, and comprehensive quantification of SCS severity. Implementing these data-driven ML models can significantly advance CS care through standardized assessments, enhanced precision, and informed surgical planning.