Research on the Integration of New Energy in Hubei Power Grid Into Power Balance Analysis

With the development of the installed scale of new energy in Hubei power grid, it is necessary to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the power supply guarantee function of new energy, in order to reasonably evaluate the power supply guarantee capacity of new energy and effectively address the power balance problem during peak summer and winter electricity consumption periods. This article relies on the historical operation data samples of new energy in Hubei power grid, and uses mathematical statistical methods to comprehensively analyze the distribution of new energy simultaneity rate and deviation of new energy prediction during the peak periods of summer and winter evenings in Hubei. On this basis, in order to incorporate wind power into the medium and long-term power balance capacity, the rationality of the current principle of 10 % of wind power installed capacity was evaluated by analyzing the guarantee rate index; Regarding the inclusion of wind power in short-term power balance capacity, the focus is on analyzing the deviation between predicted and actual wind power values, and conducting feasibility analysis on wind power classification based on the actual operation of the Hubei power grid.