Model Oriented to Electricity Spot Market Clearing Price Forecasting

As renewable energy becomes widespread and power markets advance rapidly, clearing prices in electricity spot markets display high volatility, nonlinearity, and uncertainty. Accurately forecasting these prices is vital for the healthy operation and economic benefits of power markets. This paper presents a prediction model for electricity spot market clearing prices based on a Parallel Temporal Convolutional Network (P-TCN). The P-TCN model integrates multi - period features, using independent TCN structures to model different - period features like hours, days, weeks, and months. It uses dilated convolutions to expand the receptive field, effectively solving training complexity and gradient vanishing issues in traditional CNNs when dealing with long sequences. Experimental results show that this model can enhance the prediction accuracy of electricity spot market clearing prices, offering strong support for benefit optimization and stable operation in power markets.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-04-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/nesp65198.2025.11040666
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Model Oriented to Electricity Spot Market Clearing Price Forecasting

Yang Li, Zhe Chen, Zhiqiang Liu, Chunhai Guo et al.
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Model Oriented to Electricity Spot Market Clearing Price Forecasting

Yang Li, Zhe Chen, Zhiqiang Liu, Chunhai Guo, Junwei Yang
article en

Abstract

As renewable energy becomes widespread and power markets advance rapidly, clearing prices in electricity spot markets display high volatility, nonlinearity, and uncertainty. Accurately forecasting these prices is vital for the healthy operation and economic benefits of power markets. This paper presents a prediction model for electricity spot market clearing prices based on a Parallel Temporal Convolutional Network (P-TCN). The P-TCN model integrates multi - period features, using independent TCN structures to model different - period features like hours, days, weeks, and months. It uses dilated convolutions to expand the receptive field, effectively solving training complexity and gradient vanishing issues in traditional CNNs when dealing with long sequences. Experimental results show that this model can enhance the prediction accuracy of electricity spot market clearing prices, offering strong support for benefit optimization and stable operation in power markets.

China Southern Power Grid (China) (CN)
China Southern Power Grid
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Model Oriented to Electricity Spot Market Clearing Price Forecasting — Yang Li, Zhe Chen, et al. · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS