Ship Pollution Emission Prediction Based on GRU-Attention Neural Network

With the increasing global emphasis on green shipping and low-carbon energy systems, accurate prediction of maritime pollutant emissions has become critical to sustainable transport and environmental compliance. This paper proposes a GRU-Attention-based deep learning model for multivariate ship emission forecasting. By integrating AIS trajectory data, static vessel attributes, and meteorological conditions, the model leverages gated recurrent units (GRU) and an attention mechanism to capture complex temporal dependencies in emission patterns. Experimental results show that the proposed model significantly outperforms baseline LSTM and Bi-LSTM models in terms of accuracy and stability, especially during high-emission intervals. The approach contributes to intelligent maritime emission monitoring and offers a scalable framework for energy-efficient vessel operation and emission reduction strategies in new energy systems.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-04-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/nesp65198.2025.11041106
Primary Topic
Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency
Type
article
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article

Ship Pollution Emission Prediction Based on GRU-Attention Neural Network

Yuxuan Xiao, Jingxian Liu
Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency
article

Ship Pollution Emission Prediction Based on GRU-Attention Neural Network

Yuxuan Xiao, Jingxian Liu
article en

Abstract

With the increasing global emphasis on green shipping and low-carbon energy systems, accurate prediction of maritime pollutant emissions has become critical to sustainable transport and environmental compliance. This paper proposes a GRU-Attention-based deep learning model for multivariate ship emission forecasting. By integrating AIS trajectory data, static vessel attributes, and meteorological conditions, the model leverages gated recurrent units (GRU) and an attention mechanism to capture complex temporal dependencies in emission patterns. Experimental results show that the proposed model significantly outperforms baseline LSTM and Bi-LSTM models in terms of accuracy and stability, especially during high-emission intervals. The approach contributes to intelligent maritime emission monitoring and offers a scalable framework for energy-efficient vessel operation and emission reduction strategies in new energy systems.

Wuhan University of Technology (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 86%
Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency
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