Monthly Electricity Price Forecast Analysis Considering Economics and Renewable Energy in the Electricity-carbon Coupling Market

Regional economic growth will promote the increase of social electricity consumption. At the same time, the seasonal changes of renewable energy will also affect the supply and demand relationship in the electricity market. Therefore, the change of electricity price is affected by factors such as economic and renewable energy seasonal changes. This paper first establishes the Census X12 seasonal adjustment multiplication model to convert the monthly electricity price, and then establishes the prediction model according to the characteristics of each component of the electricity price. Finally, the prediction results of each component are reconstructed to obtain the predicted value of the monthly electricity price.